Polling Shows Incredibly Tight Races in Unexpected Places

New polling data released today by Common Sense Calgary shows incumbents Druh Farrell, Evan Woolley, and Gian-Carlo Carra are struggling to keep voters from turning to the fresh faces and new ideas of their competitors, while Ward Sutherland, Sean Chu, and Shane Keating hold significant leads over their competitors.

These poll results are part of a larger, independently commissioned, ward-by-ward municipal election poll that Common Sense Calgary will be releasing over the next week.

Participants in each ward polled were asked "Of the following candidates, who would you be most likely to vote for in your local ward?"

The results show that:

  • In Ward 9, Gian-Carlo Carra holds only a 1-point lead over Cheryl Link 
  • In Ward 8, Evan Woolley holds only a 1-point lead over Chris Davis
  • In Ward 7, Druh Farrell holds only a 3-point lead over Brent Alexander
  • In Ward 1, Ward Sutherland holds a 24-point lead over his nearest competitor
  • In Ward 4, Sean Chu holds a 29-point lead over his nearest competitor
  • In Ward 12, Shane Keating holds a 31-point lead over his nearest competitor

Polling results for Wards 2, 3, 5, 6, 10, 11, 13, 14, and the mayoral race are forthcoming.

 

FULL RESULTS:

 

Ward 1:

Cole Christensen - 1.19%

Chris Blatch - 6.89%

Ward Sutherland - 40.86%

Coral Bliss Taylor - 16.86%

Cam Khan - 2.14%

Undecided - 32.07%

 

Ward 4

Srini Ganti - 1.39%

Blair Berdusco - 5.82%

Sean Chu - 49.31%

Greg Miller - 20.78%

Undecided - 22.71%

 

Ward 7           

Marek Hejduk - 0.71%

Brent Alexander - 27.40%

Druh Farrell - 29.89%

Margot Aftergood - 9.96%

Dean Brawn - 12.18%

Undecided - 19.85%

 

Ward 8           

Karla Charest - 2.71%

Evan Woolley - 31.85%

Chris Davis - 30.53%

Carter Thomson - 1.36%

Undecided - 33.56%

 

Ward 9           

Omar M’Keyo - 0.90%

Cheryl Link - 21.88%

Cesar Saavedra - 1.79%

Boss Madimba - 1.49%

Gian-Carlo Carra - 22.99%

Trevor Buckler - 3.28%

David Metcalfe - 5.07%

Undecided - 42.60%

 

Ward 12         

Brad Cunningham - 7.02%

Teresa Hargreaves - 9.94%

Shane Keating - 41.20%

Mackenzie Quigley - 4.68%

Undecided - 37.16%

 

This polling research was conducted by Pantheon Research between September 29, 2017 and October 2, 2017, via Interactive Voice Response (IVR), using a random sample of 2048 Calgarians, distributed across the 6 wards released, resulting in a margin of error of between 4.7 and 5.7 percentage points depending on the ward.


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